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All
100
Iran
87
Lebanon
19
Oil
33
Ukraine
113
Ukraine Map
67
Cuba
14
Venezuela
27
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70
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13
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70
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6
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8
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India-Pakistan
2
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
36%
Yes
35.5¢
No
64.5¢
July 31
1%
Yes
0.7¢
No
99.4¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$123.5M
Vol
3.25% variable
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro
77%
Yes
77.4¢
No
22.6¢
Delcy Rodríguez
14%
Yes
13.5¢
No
86.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$93.6M
Vol
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
Starmer - UK PM
97%
Yes
97.2¢
No
2.8¢
Abbas - President of Palestine
1%
Yes
0.8¢
No
99.3¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$64.9M
Vol
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
August 31
7%
Yes
6.6¢
No
93.5¢
July 31
4%
Yes
3.5¢
No
96.5¢
Mar 31, 2026
End
•
$62.9M
Vol
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
20%
Chance
Yes
19.5¢
No
80.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$41.4M
Vol
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
Chance
Yes
3.9¢
No
96.2¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$38.4M
Vol
3.25% variable
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
12%
Yes
11.5¢
No
88.5¢
September 30
7%
Yes
6.5¢
No
93.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$28.4M
Vol
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei
75%
Yes
74.8¢
No
25.3¢
No Head of State
9%
Yes
9.3¢
No
90.6¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$26.9M
Vol
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot
41%
Yes
41.1¢
No
58.9¢
Benjamin Netanyahu
37%
Yes
36.5¢
No
63.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$26.6M
Vol
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
UNRWA
10%
Yes
10.3¢
No
89.7¢
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
8%
Yes
8.0¢
No
92.0¢
Oct 10, 2026
End
•
$22.4M
Vol
Israel closes its airspace by...?
August 31
29%
Yes
29.0¢
No
71.0¢
July 31
16%
Yes
15.5¢
No
84.5¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$22.2M
Vol
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
10%
Chance
Yes
9.5¢
No
90.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$21.8M
Vol
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
7%
Chance
Yes
6.5¢
No
93.5¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$21.6M
Vol
Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 2027
28%
Yes
28.5¢
No
71.5¢
December 31
25%
Yes
24.5¢
No
75.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$19.6M
Vol
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
14%
Yes
14.5¢
No
85.5¢
October 31
8%
Yes
7.5¢
No
92.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$17.3M
Vol
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027
20%
Yes
19.5¢
No
80.5¢
December 31, 2026
10%
Yes
9.5¢
No
90.5¢
Jun 30, 2027
End
•
$17.3M
Vol
3.25% variable
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
3%
Chance
Yes
2.8¢
No
97.3¢
Jul 31, 2026
End
•
$16.2M
Vol
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
6%
Chance
Yes
5.5¢
No
94.5¢
Mar 31, 2026
End
•
$14.2M
Vol
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
2%
Chance
Yes
1.5¢
No
98.5¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$12.1M
Vol
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
4%
Chance
Yes
4.3¢
No
95.8¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$11.6M
Vol
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